This study was to assess the prognosis stratification of the clinical-pathologic staging system incorporating estrogen receptor (ER)-negative disease, the nuclear grade 3 tumor pathology (CPS + EG), Neo-Bioscore, and a modified Neo-Bioscore system in breast cancer patients after preoperative systemic therapy (PST). A retrospective multicenter cohort study was conducted from 12 participating hospitals' databases from 2006 to 2015. Five-year disease free survival (DFS), disease specific survival (DSS), and overall survival (OS) were calculated using Kaplan-Meier Method. Area under the curve (AUC) of the three staging systems was compared. Wald test and maximum likelihood estimates in Cox proportional hazards model were used for multivariate analysis. A total of 1,077 patients were enrolled. The CPS + EG, Neo-Bioscore, and modified Neo-Bioscore could all stratify the DFS, DSS, and OS (all P < 0.001). While in the same stratum of Neo-Bioscore scores 2 and 3, the HER2-positive patients without trastuzumab therapy had much poorer DSS (P = 0.013 and P values < 0.01, respectively) as compared to HER2-positive patients with trastuzumab therapy and HER2-negative patients. Only the modified Neo-Bioscore had a significantly higher stratification of 5-year DSS than PS (AUC 0.79 vs. 0.65, P = 0.03). So, the modified Neo-Bioscore could circumvent the limitation of CPS + EG or Neo-Bioscore.
Clinical trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT03437837.
Keywords: CPS + EG; HER2; Neo-Bioscore; breast cancer prognosis; preoperative systemic therapy.
Copyright © 2021 Xu, Liu, Fan, Jiang, Liu, Ling, Zhang, Yu, Jin, Wang, Cui, Wang, Mao, Han, Wang, Zhang, Wang, Guo, Yu, Xu, Fu, Liu, Wang, Luo, Xiang, Zhang, Liu, Zhou, Liu, Ma, Tong, Mao, Duan and Cui.