Elsevier

Ophthalmology

Volume 119, Issue 3, March 2012, Pages 571-580
Ophthalmology

Original article
Age and Gender Variations in Age-related Macular Degeneration Prevalence in Populations of European Ancestry: A Meta-analysis

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ophtha.2011.09.027Get rights and content

Objective

To obtain prevalence estimates of age-related macular degeneration (AMD; late, geographic atrophy, neovascular) by age and gender amongst populations of European ancestry taking into account study design and time trends.

Design

Systematic review of population-based studies published by September 2010 with quantitative estimates of geographic atrophy (GA), neovascular (NV), and late AMD prevalence. Studies were identified by a literature search of MEDLINE (from 1950), EMBASE (from 1980), and Web of Science (from 1980) databases.

Participants

Data from 25 published studies (57 173 subjects: 455 with GA, 464 with NVAMD, and 1571 with late AMD).

Methods

Bayesian meta-regression of the log odds of AMD with age, gender, and year of study allowing for differences in study design characteristics, to estimate prevalences of AMD (late, GA, NVAMD) along with 95% credible intervals (CrI).

Main Outcome Measures

Log odds and prevalence of AMD.

Results

There was considerable heterogeneity in prevalence rates between studies; for late AMD, 20% of the variability in prevalence rates was explained by differences in age and 50% by study characteristics. The prevalence of AMD increased exponentially with age (odds ratio [OR], 4.2 per decade; 95% CrI, 3.8–4.6), which did not differ by gender. There was some evidence to suggest higher risk of NVAMD in women compared with men (OR, 1.2; 95% CrI, 1.0–1.5). Compared with studies using fundus imaging and international classification systems, studies using fundus imaging with alternative classifications were more likely (OR, 2.7; 95% CrI, 1.1–2.8), and studies using alternative classifications without fundus imaging most likely to diagnose late AMD (OR, 2.9; 95% CrI, 1.3–7.8). There was no good evidence of trends in AMD prevalence over time. Estimated prevalence of late AMD is 1.4% (95% CrI, 1.0%–2.0%) at 70 years of age, rising to 5.6% (95% CrI, 3.9%–7.7%) at age 80 and 20% (95% CrI, 14%–27%) at age 90.

Conclusions

Studies using recognized classifications systems with fundus photography reported the lowest prevalences of AMD taking account of age and gender, and were stable over time, with a potentially higher risk of NVAMD for women. These prevalence estimates can be used to guide health service provision in populations of European ancestry.

Financial Disclosure(s)

The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.

Section snippets

Systematic Review Process

The review followed the Meta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology guidelines for the conduct of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies.8 We searched MEDLINE (1950 onward), EMBASE (1960 onward), and Web of Science (1970 onward) electronic databases. The literature search was updated to September 2010 using automatic Ovid alerts. A combination of text words for AMD (age related macula$ degeneration/age related maculopathy/senile macula$ degeneration) and

Statistical Analysis

The extent of heterogeneity in AMD prevalence estimates was quantified with the I2 statistic (which gives the percentage of variation between studies due to heterogeneity rather than chance)11 using STATA/SE (StataCorp, College Station, TX), and the degree to which age and study level covariates contribute to heterogeneity was examined. Levels of heterogeneity were high, so random-effect models were used throughout. The reported mean (or median) age or midpoint of the age range reported was

Results

The analyses include data from 25 published papers in 31 distinct populations involving 1571 cases of late AMD among 51 173 individuals of European ancestry (Table 1). One study12 was in men and therefore only contributes to the meta-analysis by gender, leaving 30 populations (counting each country in the EUREYE13 study as a distinct population) for the meta-analysis for men and women combined. A subset of studies defining AMD type involved 455 cases with GA, and 464 cases with NVAMD. Most

Discussion

This systematic review and meta-analysis represents an update on earlier reviews carried out in European ancestry populations, with the inclusion of many more studies (31 study populations with 51 173 participants as opposed to a maximum of 7 studies with 29 658 participants used in earlier reviews).3, 4 Pooling prevalence from a larger number of studies provides considerably more precise estimates of overall prevalence, although the degree of precision is affected by heterogeneity between

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    Manuscript no. 2011-579.

    Financial Disclosure(s): The author(s) have no proprietary or commercial interest in any materials discussed in this article.

    The work was supported by a grant from the Macular Diseases Society, UK and commissioned on behalf of the Macular Interest Group of Vision 2020, UK.

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