Abstract
Background/Aim: Several studies have demonstrated the usefulness of C-reactive protein (CRP) or cellular components obtained from complete blood count as prognostic indicators in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic significance of the combination of CRP and blood cellular components in CRC patients. Patients and Methods: A total of 463 patients who underwent curative surgery for CRC were enrolled in this study. Results: ROC analysis revealed that the values of area under the curve of neutrophil, lymphocyte, platelet, and monocyte counts (MC) for overall survival (OS) were 0.594, 0.513, 0.553, and 0.625, respectively. Using cut-off values derived from ROC analysis, patients were divided into the following groups, CRPHigh, CRPLow, MCHigh, and MCLow. The 5-year OS rates of CRPHigh and MCHigh, CRPHigh and MCLow, CRPLow and MCHigh, and CRPLow and MCLow patients were 60.2%, 75.7%, 82.1%, and 88.3%, respectively (p<0.0001). Multivariate analysis revealed that the combination of serum CRP levels and MC was an independent prognostic indicator. With regard to the cause of death, the combination of CRP and MC was significantly associated with both cancer-related and unrelated death. Conclusion: The combination of CRP and MC is useful in predicting the prognosis in CRC patients.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most commonly diagnosed cancers. Although the prognosis of CRC patients has improved with recent advances in surgical techniques and chemotherapy, including molecularly targeted drugs, CRC remains the fourth cause of cancer death worldwide (1). Therefore, identifying factors that are predictive of prognosis is critical for establishing appropriate treatment strategies and improving long-term outcome of CRC patients.
Accumulating evidence has shown that tumor markers (TMs), such as carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9, are useful in predicting long-term survival in CRC patients (2, 3). These TMs are frequently used in clinical settings because they can be measured quickly, noninvasively, and relatively inexpensively. While the origin of a TM is the tumor itself, recent studies have demonstrated that host-related indicators that reflect inflammation, nutrition, and immunity are also closely related to the prognosis of CRC patients (4-7).
The host systemic inflammatory response is associated with tumor development and progression. C-reactive protein (CRP) is one of the most frequently used markers for systemic inflammatory response and is a useful prognostic indicator in various types of cancers, including CRC (8-10). Complete blood count (CBC) data is routinely available to clinicians and includes the concentrations of neutrophils, monocytes, and platelets that are closely related to the inflammation status of patients. CBC data have been correlated with the prognosis of cancer patients (11-14). Recently, several indicators, such as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, thrombocyte to lymphocyte ratio, and lymphocyte to monocyte ratio, have been developed using CBC data. These indicators are also thought to reflect inflammation and have been associated with prognosis for various cancers (15-18). Furthermore, these indicators seem to be more useful prognostic indicators than the usage of neutrophil, monocyte, or thrombocyte counts. However, the precise combination of inflammation markers that can precisely predict prognosis of CRC patients has remained unclear. Therefore, the aim of this study was to identify the best combination of inflammatory markers that can be obtained from blood analysis as a prognostic indicator in CRC patients.
Overall survival curves according to serum C-reactive protein levels and peripheral monocyte count. (a) C-reactive protein levels. (b) Monocyte count.
Patients and Methods
Patients. This retrospective study included 463 patients who underwent curative surgery for stage I–III CRC at Tottori University Hospital, Japan between January 2007 and December 2015. Patients who underwent emergent surgery or received antibiotics for infectious disease before surgery were excluded. The clinicopathologic findings were assessed according to the eighth edition of the Japanese Classification of Colorectal Carcinoma (19). Patients were periodically examined for early recurrence by diagnostic imaging (chest X-ray, colonoscopy, ultrasonography, and computed tomography). Causes of death and patterns of recurrence were determined by reviewing medical records, including laboratory data, ultrasonography, computed tomography, scintigrams, and laparotomies, or by direct inquiry with family members. Serum CRP and CEA levels and peripheral neutrophil, monocyte, lymphocyte, and platelet counts were measured preoperatively (within 1 month before operation). Institutional review board approval was obtained, and the informed consent requirement was waived for this study.
Ethical approval. All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.
Statistical analysis. Categorical variables were compared using Chi square test. Spearman rank correlation coefficient was used to analyze the correlation between serum CRP levels and peripheral monocyte count (MC). The Youden index was calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to determine an optimal cutoff value for survival analysis. Survival curves were calculated according to the Kaplan–Meier method. Differences between the curves were identified using the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analysis of factors considered prognostic of overall survival (OS) were performed using Cox's proportional hazards model. p<0.05 was considered to indicate statistically significant difference. Statistical analyses were performed using GraphPad Prism (GraphPad Software, Inc., La Jolla, CA, USA) and Stat View (Abacus Concepts, Inc., Berkeley, CA, USA) software.
Results
ROC analysis revealed that the area under the curve (AUC) of neutrophil, lymphocyte, monocyte and platelet counts for OS were 0.594, 0.513, 0.625, and 0.553, respectively. Among the blood cellular components that could be obtained from CBC, MC had the highest AUC value and was used for subsequent analysis.
ROC analysis indicated that 0.145 and 455.5 had the highest Yoden indices (sensitivity + specificity - 1) for serum CRP levels and MC, respectively, and these values were considered to be optimal cut-off values. Patients were divided into the following groups based on the cut-off values: CRPHigh (CRP≥0.145; n=216), CRPLow (CRP<0.145; n=247), MCHigh (MC≥455.5; n=226), and MCLow (MC<455.5; n=237).
The 5-year OS rates of CRPHigh patients were significantly lower than those of CRPLow patients (66.3% vs. 85.7%, respectively, p<0.0001, Figure 1a). The 5-year OS rates of MCHigh patients were also significantly lower than those of MCLow patients (69.2% vs. 83.7%, respectively, p=0.0005, Figure 1b). Figure 2 shows the correlation between serum CRP level and peripheral MC. Although there was a statistically significant positive correlation between them, the correlation coefficient was relatively low (r=0.35, p<0.0001; Figure 2). Therefore, the combination of CRP with MC may be more useful in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients than the single use of either CRP or MC.
Correlation between serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and peripheral monocyte count (MC).
The 5-year OS rates of CRPHigh and MCHigh patients, CRPHigh and MCLow patients, CRPLow and MCHigh patients, and CRPLow and MCLow patients were 60.2%, 75.7%, 82.1%, and 88.3%, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (p<0.0001; Figure 3). Patients in the CRPLow and MCLow, CRPLow and MCHigh, CRPHigh and MCLow, and CRPHigh and MCHigh groups were then assigned 0, 1, 2, and 3 in order of the 5-year OS rates, respectively, to perform ROC analysis according to the previous study (20). ROC curves were constructed for the survival status, and AUC values were compared to assess the discrimination abilities of serum CRP levels, peripheral MC, and the combination of CRP and MC. Among the three prognostic scores, the combination of CRP and MC had the highest AUC value (0.693), followed by CRP (AUC, 0.661) and MC (AUC, 0.625). These findings indicate that the combination of CRP and MC was more useful in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients than the single use of either CRP or MC.
Univariate analysis indicated that age, tumor size, operative approach, depth of tumor invasion, serum CEA level, and the combination of serum CRP level and MC were prognostic indicators (Table I). Parameters with p<0.1 in univariate analysis were then examined by multivariate analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed that the combination of serum CRP level and MC was an independent prognostic indicator, along with age, depth of invasion, and serum CEA level (Table I). With regard to the cause of death, the combination of CRP and MC was significantly associated with both cancer-related and unrelated death (Figure 4).
Discussion
Establishing novel noninvasive prognostic indicators from hematological and serological variables for cancer has been the focus of current research. In this regard, markers that reflect the inflammation status of patients attract considerable attention, as multiple studies have demonstrated a role for inflammation in tumor progression. CRP is one of the most frequently used serum markers in the evaluation of inflammation status. CRP is an acute-phase reactant that is synthesized by hepatocytes and regulated by proinflammatory cytokines, particularly IL-6 (21). CRC cells produce high levels of IL-6 (22, 23), and tumor growth or invasion induces inflammation of the surrounding tissue, also resulting in the production of IL-6. Therefore, increased serum CRP levels are often observed in cancer patients, including CRC patients. Indeed, preoperative CRP levels were shown to be a prognostic indicator in patients with CRC, esophageal cancer, and cervical cancer (8-10). We have also recently demonstrated that the preoperative serum CRP levels are useful in predicting prognosis in CRC patients (7). Furthermore, CRP-based prognostic indicators have been recently developed to predict the prognosis of cancer patients more precisely than CRP alone. The Glasgow prognostic score is CRP-based and is a useful prognostic indicator in CRC patients (24). The CRP to albumin ratio is also a CRP-based prognostic indicator that has been shown to be useful in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients (25). We have recently demonstrated that the platelet×C-reactive protein multiplier value, another CRP-based prognostic indicator, was significantly related to prognosis of gastric cancer patients (26). Because platelet count can be obtained from routine CBC, the evaluation of the platelet×C-reactive protein multiplier value is convenient and non-invasive. However, other cell data can also be obtained from CBC and are closely related to inflammation status, such as neutrophils and monocytes. These cell counts might also be effective in combination with CRP in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients. ROC analysis demonstrated that the AUC value of MC was higher than those of neutrophils, lymphocytes, and platelet counts. The prognosis of MCHigh patients was significantly worse than that MCLow patients. Accumulating studies have suggested that increased MC could be an indicator of various inflammatory diseases (27, 28). In addition, monocytes suppress the host immune response to cancer. In this regard, we have previously demonstrated that peripheral monocytes have increased PD-L1 expression, the ligand of PD-1, in gastric cancer patients (29). Mounting evidence suggests that PD-L1 expression on solid tumors dampens antitumor T-cell responses (30-35) because PD-L1 delivers a co-inhibitory signal to T cells upon binding to PD-1, which results in impaired function of T cells. Other studies have demonstrated that cytotoxic tumor-infiltrating T lymphocytes and tumor-infiltrating CD45RO+ memory T cells are closely associated with prognosis in cancer patients (36, 37). It is likely that PD-L1-expressing monocytes dampen their function, which results in poor prognosis. Furthermore, a recent study has shown that tumor-associated macrophages expressed PD-1 as well as PD-L1, and PD-1 expression in tumor-associated macrophages correlates negatively with phagocytic potency against tumor cells, which is closely associated with impaired tumor immunity (38). These findings indicated that monocytes are closely associated with both inflammation status and immunosuppression in cancer patients and supported the association between high MC and poor prognosis in this study.
Overall survival curves according to serum C-reactive protein (CRP) levels and peripheral monocyte count (MC).
Univariate and multivariate analyses of prognostic factors for overall survival in patients with colorectal cancer.
Prediction of postoperative prognosis in CRC patients is important in determining treatment strategy. Both CRP and MC are closely related to patient inflammation status and our study revealed a significant positive correlation between CRP and MC. However, the correlation coefficient was relatively low. Therefore, we considered that the combination of CRP with MC was more useful in predicting the prognosis of CRC patients than either CRP or MC alone. ROC analysis revealed that the combination of CRP and MC had the highest AUC value compared with CRP or MC alone. These findings indicated that the combination of CRP and MC was more useful for predicting the prognosis of CRC patients than the single use of CRP or MC. Furthermore, multivariate analysis revealed that the combination of CRP and MC was an independent prognostic indicator. Recent progress in chemotherapy has improved the prognosis of unresectable advanced and recurrent CRC (39), while early detection of recurrence has been shown to increase survival after curative colectomy for CRC (40, 41). Therefore, the identification of indicators that accurately predict prognosis in CRC patients is critical. The combination of CRP and MC may help in detecting patients who are at high risk of recurrence and need intensive follow-up even after curative surgery.
With regard to the cause of death, the combination of CRP and MC was closely associated with not only cancer-related death but also cancer unrelated death. The incidence of CRC among the elderly has been increasing in Japan due to the extended life span of the general population. Similar trends are noted worldwide (42). As the functions of various organs are often compromised with age, it is extremely important to consider patient-related factors, including the presence of comorbidity, as well as cancer-related factors when deciding the treatment strategy for elderly CRC patients. However, deciding the treatment strategy in elderly patients can be difficult. The combination of CRP and MC may be helpful for surgeons to establish treatment strategies in elderly CRC patients.
Mortality rates according to serum C-reactive protein levels and peripheral monocyte count. (a) Cancer-related death. (b) Cancer-unrelated death.
Our study has some limitations. First, some bias was present because the study was retrospective. Second, the optimal cut-off values for CRP and MC remain unclear and may be different in various types of cancers. Third, the number of patients included in the current study is small. Therefore, these results must be confirmed in a large-scale trial.
In conclusion, the combination of CRP and MC is useful in predicting the prognosis in CRC patients. Because measuring serum CRP level and MC is quick, easy, and non-invasive, the combination of CRP and MC may be a useful prognostic indicator in routine clinical settings and may be helpful for surgeons to make decisions on treatment strategy in CRC patients.
Acknowledgements
The Authors thank Edanz Group (www.edanzediting.com/ac) for editing a draft of this manuscript.
Footnotes
Authors' Contributions
Study conception and design: Hiroaki Saito and Manabu Yamamoto; Acquisition of data: Hiroaki Saito, Manabu Yamamoto, Kazushi Hara, Ken Sugezawa, Chihiro Uejima, Akimitsu Tanio, Yoichiro Tada, Kyoichi Kihara, Teruhisa Sakamoto, Soichiro Honjo; Analysis and interpretation of data: Hiroaki Saito and Manabu Yamamoto; Drafting of manuscript: Hiroaki Saito and Manabu Yamamoto; Critical revision: Hiroaki Saito and Yoshiyuki Fujiwara; Final approval of the article: all Authors.
This article is freely accessible online.
Conflicts of Interest
The Authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest regarding this study.
Funding
The Authors received no grants, equipment or funding for this study.
- Received October 6, 2019.
- Revision received October 24, 2019.
- Accepted October 25, 2019.
- Copyright© 2020, International Institute of Anticancer Research (Dr. George J. Delinasios), All rights reserved